AAF preview: Four best picks from the AAF betting odds
It is Week 5 in the Alliance of American Football and we have dived deep into four matchups to make our AAF predictions.
Here is an AAF preview of some of the best betting odds and tips for Saturday and Sunday's games.
Orlando Apollos (4-0) @ Birmingham Iron (3-1) (Sat)
The Orlando Apollos are in a league of their own.
The Apollos are the only undefeated team remaining in the Alliance after they came away with a road win in Salt Lake City in Week 4.
Offensively, it wasn't Orlando's most explosive performance of the season, but it was a true test in terrible conditions. Quarterback Garrett Gilbert completed 22-of-32 passes for 244 yards and a touchdown in the victory and he is already the frontrunner for the league MVP.
Gilbert has a league-leading 1,071 passing yards on the season, with the next closest coming in at 797 passing yards.
In addition to their offense, the Apollos have two players tied for second in the league in sacks as Earl Okine and Andrew Ankrah have three sacks apiece.
Orlando is the most complete team in the AAF and the Apollos have a legit chance at going undefeated this season.
The Iron, on the other hand, are coming off their first loss of the season. With that said, they are still one tough team to beat.
Birmingham rallied at the end of the game, but fell one point short. The defense has been the absolute best in the AAF, however, the only thing holding them back is their offense. Quarterback Luis Perez completed less than half of his 39 pass attempts and he threw two interceptions in the loss to San Antonio last week. Perez is still yet to throw a touchdown this season.
Running back Trent Richardson, the former No. 3 pick of the NFL Draft, rushed eight times for just 15 yards, but he did manage to score his seventh touchdown of the season.
The Apollos are giving the Iron 4.5 points in this matchup, and the over/under total is set at 39.5 points.
I believe Birmingham's defense will rise to the occasion in this home game and ultimately come away with the upset victory. Take the Iron and the 4.5 points in this contest, and roll with the under.
Final score prediction: Birmingham Iron 20, Orlando Apollos 17.
Salt Lake Stallions (1-3) @ San Diego Fleet (2-2) (Sat)
San Diego jumped out to a 20-6 lead over the Memphis Express in Week 3 before quarterback Philip Nelson went down with injury.
Alex Ross replaced him under center and he threw a 30-yard touchdown on his second pass attempt of the game. Ross ended up completing 8-of-18 passes for 80 yards and he had an interception and fumbled twice in the game. The Express managed to put together a comeback and came away with a 26-23 victory.
The Express held league-leading rusher Ja'Quan Gardner to just six yards on nine carries in the ball game.
The Fleet have a talented squad, they are now down to their third-string quarterback. After the game, general manager Dave Boller said the team was going to add another quarterback this week.
The Stallions, on the other hand, have played in close games all season long, but they just can't translate them to victories. Their only victory came in Week 3 against the Arizona Hotshots when their quarterback had to leave the game late with an injury.
Offensively, the Stallions rely on running backs Branden Oliver and Joel Bouagnon, who are both in the top seven in the AAF in rushing yards, however, they're both only averaging 3.9 yards per carry.
On defense, the Stallions have only forced two turnovers, and four of their nine team sacks have come from Karter Schult.
The Fleet are giving the Stallions 2.5 points in this contest, and the over/under is set at 38.5 points. I believe some good luck will finally bounce the Stallions' way and they will ultimately come away with the road victory over San Diego.
Roll with Salt Lake and the over in this one.
Final score prediction: Salt Lake Stallions 27, San Diego Fleet 24.
Memphis Express (1-3) @ Atlanta Legends (1-3) (Sun)
The Express are finally quietly climbing up the standings in the AAF.
After a shutout loss in Week 1, Memphis has improved tremendously and they came away with their first victory of the season in Week 4.
After benching quarterback Christian Hackenberg, the Express found some life with Zach Mettenberger under center, and he was able to lead the Express to a 26-23 win over the San Diego Fleet.
Memphis' defense has been tremendous, as it has forced nine turnovers so far this season. The Express lost by just two points in Week 2, then lost to the Orlando Apollos by four points in Week 3. Clearly the Express are headed in the right direction.
The Legends also came away with their first win of the season as they beat the Arizona Hotshots 14-11.
Atlanta opened the game scoreless on their first three trips to the red zone, but they ended up making a switch quarterback, which proved to provide a spark for the Legends.
The Legends benched quarterback Matt Simms and replaced him with Aaron Murray. The former Georgia signal caller didn't turn the ball over and he led the team with 54 rushing yards.
Atlanta kicker Younghoe Koo, formerly of the Los Angeles Chargers, is now 8-of-8 on field-goal attempts this season, and he could potentially find his way back to an NFL roster next season.
This game is a toss up. The Legends are giving the Express 1 point in this one, and the over/under is set at 39 total points in the game.
I like the road team to come away with a victory and I believe the under will come out as well.
Roll with Memphis and the under in this one.
Final score prediction: Memphis Express 24, Atlanta Legends 14.
San Antonio Commanders (2-2) @ Arizona Hotshots (2-2) (Sun)
The Commanders came away with a victory in Week 1, they lost two straight games in Week 2 and 3, but they bounced back with a huge win over the undefeated Birmingham Iron in Week 4.
San Antonio has three players with at least 2.5 sacks and three players with multiple interceptions. The Commanders, as a team, have combined for 14 sacks, which leads the AAF.
Commanders running back Kenneth Farrow piled up 142 rushing yards in their big win over the Iron last week.
The Hotshots losing to the winless Legends at home has been the biggest surprise of the Alliance of American Football season so far.
Atlanta was horrible through its first three weeks of the season, and the Hotshots were the favorite to win the league at the start of the season. Instead, the Hotshots are now losers of two straight games after they barely came away with a 20-18 victory over Memphis in Week 2.
Running back Jhurell Pressley had 14 carries for 110 yards last week. He is third in the AAF with 266 rushing yards on the season.
The Hotshots are giving the Commanders 9 points in this contest and the over/under is set at 40 total points.
I like the Commanders plus the points here and I believe this game is going to be an offensive showdown, so be sure to take the over.
Final score prediction: Atlanta Hotshots 31, San Antonio Commanders 28.